More or less.   This is March 2023, the next presidential election is November 2024.   So call it nineteen months.   Close enough for government work, as the say.   Actually I'm now sure government work gets that close these days, except in breaking things.   Of course breaking things is the objective of the current regime, so it is pretty close.  

Where are we now?   The general impression among the brightest minds (we're talking the major talk radio hosts and Substack writers) is that the U.S. is a late-stage republic. The comparisons to the Roman Republic go back twenty years at least, but it's become more prevalent over those two decades.   They're all a lot smarter than me, but I go by the evidence. Vox Day has been right over ninety percent for that long, and El Rushbo I observed to be right for over thirty years.  

The major prophets of the day (usually referred to as pundits but pundit has come to mean for most simply potificator) so I call them prophets.   Prophets didn't just tell the people what was coming if they didn't clean up their act, they were the conscience of the people.   And like the prophets of Israel, as Stephen said "Was there ever a prophet your ancestors did not persecute?" (Acts 7:51) so today's prophets are mercilessly hounded by the corrupt and wicked regime.  

Who are they?   Well, El Rushbo has passed over so he'll be seeing it from Abraham's bosom.   The rest of us (depending on our own age) may have to experience it in person.  

El Rushbo's space was filled about as capably as could be done by the Clay and Buck show.   Clay is a lawyer and successful media entrepreneur, and Travis is a former CIA officer.   They continue Rush's work quite ably and they are every bit as smart as you have to be to get that position.

Jesse Kelley is a perfect complement, his three hours comes on a local station at 2100, and as I go to bed a little after midnight so it's a perfect way to end the day.   I listen on the radio wherever possible because I don't like listening to anything on a phone and I like paying the predatory phone providers even less.   I spend most of my time at one of my rural retreats where the nearest cable is a mile or more away.

Glenn Beck is a long time prophet, and usually is well ahead of things.   You can listen to Glenn and find out what the others will be talking about in a week or a few.   He's been around since the early 2000s.  

The Substack writers have some overlap with other media as some of those personalities blog there, as do many non-media and non-political types.   Wickedpedia doesn't like it because it doesn't censor, and anything that Wickedpedia doesn't like is probably good.   The only problem with Substack is that there is so much and so little time.  



Donald Trump, unless he suddenly departs this mortal plane or has some sort of epiphany that moves him to exit the political scene entirely, is apparently going to be a major part of the 2024 election.   What the effect will be is hard to say now and will probably remain so for quite a while.   So much depends on whether or not the election can again be manipulated sufficiently to guarantee a Democrat victory.   If not they dims can run Joetato (assuming he remains vertical long enough) and win no matter who the Republican candidate is.   In that case the Republic is finished.   It may remain in one piece as whatever regime comes after - probably a Marxist Russia model - and occupy the current boundaries.   More likely, I suspect, is that in such a case it will break up into two or more parts, depending on how and where the resistance prevails and controls territory.   In that case what happens in the next year and a half.

What role does Trump play?   I cannot arrive at any other conclusion than that he is a loose cannon and cannot be controlled or even guided by the best advisers, no matter how good they are and their dedication to preserving the Republic is absolute.   His personality, mostly impulse and emotion, will determine the course of his campaign in the primaries and if he receives the nomination, in the election.

I expect the situation to be sufficiently dire by then that he can be elected with relative ease, if the fraud machinery can be overcome.   It is possible, but is much more achievable if the Republican is both united behind him (a few RINOs and die-hard Never Trumpers will remain no matter what) and plays the game, as much as possible, as the enemy does.   Ballot harvesting (distasteful but necessary and not illegal or even unethical) and early voting.   The Arizona election was stolen mostly because Republicans did not vote early.   The sabotage of voting machines in heavy Republican districts was enough.   To be sure there were many fraudulent votes, and there will be more this time around, but the margins in the states that were turned through fraud were thin.

If the election is winnable, the Republican need not be Trump, or even someone like DeSantis.   Can Trump win?   He'll certainly give the enemy plenty of openings for attacks, where a more disciplined candidate would not.   It will be close with Trump, less so with someone else.

Trump could easily find a reason to retire, he could throw his support to DeSantis or someone similar and virtually guarantee a victory.   But that would require the epiphany.

The biggest danger is Trump losing the primary and, even if not running as a third party candidate and guaranteeing a dim victory, fails to support the nominee with sufficient enthusiasm.

Trump will probably remain a wild card all the way through.   It may be we are destined for a breakup of some sort, even if it is as benign as a divorce.   That would be the ideal scenario, but the enemy will, once they realize where it would end - decentralization leaving the blue states bankrupt and stuck with their parasite population - will do anything to prevent it.

The signs point towards something like that, as resistance from the free states grows.   But so do the attacks, facilitated by the left's control of both relevant branches.   The Supreme court is irrelevant as it can not enforce its rulings.   For now chaos grows.   What happens after another six months of pain?   A draft to enable more military adventures could get ugly. And continuing, even increasing inflation to fund the Ukraine and possibly new wars will inflict some severe pain on people who are already hurting.

What a difference six months makes.  OK, seven.  Still the amount of craziness is pretty impressive.  Four or so prosecutors, federal and in two or three states to make sure something sticks.  So there's a guaranteed conviction on something somewhere and it won't happen in time to have it overturned by a higher court, and anything below SCOTUS is unlikely to make it happen.  Until the last few days I haven't believed there was any way for him to win the election, but the situation is so weird he just might, possibly while sitting in a jail cell.

Presumably somewhere in the (US branch of the cabal) brain trust there are some who realize that, or maybe it's just paranoia.  Which is likely.  So the indictments may continue, even as the overkill passed the point of diminshing returns a while back.  But given that there can't be more than one or two of them with an IQ much above room temperature, they continue to throw spaghetti at the wall and hope something sticks. 

I had suspected that another rigged election was inevitable even though the previous one was pretty close in terms of how few votes some of the the critical states managed to manufacture.  So theoretically Trump could win.  I don't at this point believe any other Republican can, even if the situation by November is 1980 on steroids.  But Trump might. 

How?

Well, there are a couple of things - there's still a year for the pain to increase and the possibility of a third - or fourth or fifth - party candidate to suck votes from the dims.  And they can't afford that.  In 2000 Ralph Nader pulled less than three percent of the vote, but in Florida (where the dims tried and nearly succeeded in recounting until they 'won') he had over 90,000 votes and Bush won by 537.  So as close as the swing states are (Trump even or leading in the past week) any other party would be a problem.  RFK Jr. is apparently going to be the third party, and the dims were hoping he would pull votes mostly from Trump as he's the only anti-vax candidate.  But he proceeded to endorse slavery 'reparations' (but quickly backtracked) and made a couple of other wacko comments.  All he ever had to attract Republicans was his position on the Plandemic.  By next November that probably won't be enough. 

Will anyone at all be surprised when something happens to RFKjr before the election?  I wouldn't normally think that the dims are even now preparing a Hinkley or Oswald type to do the job, but I don't underestimate these people.  But then...

It seems that the rabid commie Cornel West is going to run.  It wouldn't surprise me if he pulled as much as Nader.  Will something happen to him?  Besides not being able to get on the ballot in enough of the right states.  Then you have the Greens, and the No Labels.  I wouldn't expect either to take much from the Republican.  The libertarian, whoever that is, might take some Republican votes but they would be mostly never-Trumpers. 

Meanwhile probably the biggest other thing is WWIII.  It's looking bad, and anything can happen.  Like multiple (possibly dozens or a hundred or more) muslim attacks on U.S. population centers.  They have the people in place and prepared, waiting for the signal.  And if U.S. troops are in it and even a few coffins being unloaded at Dover it can't be good for the regime.  And if the Iranians close the Strait of Hormuzmuch before election day there's gonna be some serious pain. 

This is all assuming Joetato remains above room temperature long enough.  If he just falls and breaks something they'll believe they can use the sympathy factor and keep him in, but the chances of him assuming room temperature are quite real, and they don't seem to believe it.  If he's out you have Newscum going after it like... well he's licking his chops and getting ready.  I did hear the interesting theory that he wouldn't mind seeing Trump win so he can run in 2028 with no (potentially popular) incumbent.  Interesting but I believe if the slot is open he'll go for it.  Of course going against someone like DeSantis following a Trump presidency wouldn't be good given the inevitable comparison of Florica and California that would dominate the race.  Would be fun to watch.  Okey-dokey, we'll see what happens.